In the last 24 hours, Solana [SOL] has witnessed a notable decrease, reaching a low of $131, the lowest in five months. This downward trend adds to a bearish pattern that has persisted for the past month, resulting in considerable losses on SOL’s price charts.
At the moment, Solana is being exchanged at $141, showcasing a decline of 38.74% over the previous month.
During this decline, Solana’s market capitalization has also dropped to $69 billion, the lowest in five months. This continuous decline has sparked discussions among major stakeholders regarding the future path of this altcoin.
In light of this, well-known crypto analyst Ali Martinez has predicted a possible drop to $65.
Analysis of Market Sentiment
In his evaluation, Martinez indicated that Solana appears to be shaping a right-angled ascending broadening pattern.
Typically, this pattern indicates increasing market volatility and the potential for substantial price shifts. The pattern involves higher peaks and a level of horizontal support, forming an expanding wedge shape.
A breach below this pattern could lead to a sharp price decline.
Therefore, Martinez suggested that if Solana breaks beneath the $130 support level, it could trigger significant bearish movement, potentially causing SOL to reach a low of $65.
Such a drop would place SOL at its lowest point in 14 months, a price level not seen since December 2024.
Could Solana Experience Further Declines?
Based on CryptoCrypto’s assessment, Solana is currently in a pronounced bearish phase. The existing market conditions position SOL for additional losses on its price charts.
For instance, Solana’s Relative Strength Index (RSI) has descended to enter oversold territory at 26. This RSI decrease implies that Solana is currently facing intense selling pressure, with sellers dominating the market.
This dominance is further affirmed by CMF, which has remained in negative territory for the past three weeks.
In addition, Solana’s Total Value Locked (TVL) has been experiencing a significant decline, falling to a three-month low of $7.3 billion. This drop in TVL suggests that fewer users are currently involved with the Solana network.
Hence, many users are shifting funds to stablecoins as they anticipate further price drops, reflecting strong bearish sentiments.
This decrease in market participation is also evidenced by a substantial reduction in aggregated open interest. This indicates that investors have lost faith in the market and are now closing positions to mitigate their losses.
In essence, Solana is presently encountering considerable downward pressure, and with prevailing bearish sentiments in the market, it is likely that SOL could experience further declines.
Thus, if the current market conditions persist, SOL could discover the next support level around $128. However, if there is a reversal in the trend from this point onwards, the altcoin would initially need to reclaim $155.