Uniswap [UNI] has recently broken out of its bearish trend and tested crucial support levels ranging between $5.5 and $5.7. This zone holds significant importance for buyers as the cryptocurrency managed to rebound from this range, indicating a resurgence of interest from bullish investors.
At the time of this analysis, UNI was trading at $6.2, experiencing a slight decrease of approximately 1.2% over the past 24 hours. The price movement was hovering around the 20-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) positioned at $6.20, which could act as a turning point for the bullish side going forward.
If Uniswap can decisively close above this level, it might pave the way for a sustained recovery.
Challenges Faced by Uniswap in Surpassing EMAs
Following its peak in March earlier this year, UNI has been stuck in a prolonged downward trend. The 200-day EMA has acted as a significant obstacle since the bearish rally in July. A breakthrough above this level could confirm a substantial bullish reversal in the long term.
Nonetheless, the recent resurgence has instilled optimism among buyers. A breach above the 20-day EMA could potentially lead to a retest of the $6.75 mark, located close to the 50 EMA.
In the event that the bulls fail to sustain this positive momentum, UNI might fall back to its prior support zone around $5.78 to $5.55.
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) was hovering around 48.6, indicating a neutral market sentiment at the time of writing. A sustained recovery above the 50 threshold on the RSI could suggest a shift towards bullish sentiment among investors.
However, the current reading indicates lingering uncertainty in the market mood.
It is crucial to mention that the Awesome Oscillator has exhibited a reduction in selling pressure, characterized by recent higher peaks on the daily chart. A move above zero could confirm the ‘bullish twin peaks’ pattern depicted by the indicator.
Insights from Derivatives Data
The overall long/short ratio in the derivatives market stands at 0.9654, showcasing a slight bearish inclination among traders. Conversely, on Binance, the long/short ratio for UNI/USDT sits notably higher at 1.8257, indicating a stronger bullish sentiment among top traders.
Despite this, there has been a 3.78% decrease in open interest, signaling a cautious approach from traders as some may be closing positions due to recent market volatility.
Traders are advised to monitor the RSI for indications of bullish momentum while keeping a close watch on general market conditions, especially the price movements of Bitcoin, which could influence the trajectory of UNI.