In the midst of a general uptrend in the market, Cosmos [ATOM] has experienced a significant surge of almost 65% in just a fortnight. This particular digital asset has shown remarkable growth, surpassing the important 200-day EMA to confirm a positive market sentiment.
For ATOM traders, it is crucial to be attentive to specific price levels as the current price movement lingers near a pivotal resistance point.
Analysis of Recent Price Trends and EMAs
The price movement of ATOM has created a pattern resembling a rising wedge, indicating a growing buying interest but also signaling that the upward trend may be approaching a temporary peak. As of the latest update, ATOM was trading at $6.18, slightly below a critical resistance level of $6.59 and facing significant resistance from the upper boundary of the rising wedge pattern.
Throughout the rally, the 20-day EMA at $5.33 and the 50-day EMA at $4.92 have acted as strong support levels, facilitating the break above the 200-day EMA at $5.88. This breakthrough suggests a potential reversal in the long-term trend in favor of the buyers.
If buyers can break the current pattern and achieve a daily close above $6.59, it might set the stage for further advancements. It is important to note that the next major resistance level lies at $7.14.
Conversely, if the current wedge pattern is breached on the downside, it could undermine the short-term bullish outlook. In such a scenario, the EMAs around the $5.33 level could serve as possible support levels.
The MACD indicator recently experienced a bullish crossover, with the MACD line surpassing the Signal line in positive territory. This emphasizes the consistent buying pressure in the market. Additionally, the RSI currently stands at 64 after retracting from the overbought region, indicating the prevailing buying pressure while also hinting at a potential correction if the bulls fail to breach the current resistance level.
In case ATOM falls below the 200-day EMA, immediate support can be expected in the range of $4.9-$5.3. On the upside, the coin encounters initial resistance at $6.59, aligning with the upper boundary of the rising wedge pattern. A successful close beyond this level could potentially pave the way for the next obstacle at $7.14.
Insights from Derivative Data
The trading volume for ATOM has declined by 34.55% in the last 24 hours, indicating cautious trading behavior among investors. Additionally, Open Interest has decreased by 4.14%, signaling that some traders have exited their positions amidst recent market volatility, possibly to lock in profits.
The long/short ratio currently stands at 0.932, suggesting a quite balanced market sentiment with a slight inclination towards short positions.
However, data from Binance and OKX paints a more positive picture, with the long/short ratios for ATOM/USDT at 3.288 and 2.94, respectively. This indicates that traders on these platforms are anticipating a sustained upward movement in the near future.
Traders are advised to closely monitor the price action of Bitcoin as it is likely to impact ATOM’s next trajectory, given the broader market sentiment influence.