Could This Be a Periodic Trend?
Historically, memecoins have demonstrated periodic trends, often experiencing surges before significant events such as bullish market speculations, endorsements from celebrities, or listings on exchanges.
The first quarter typically tends to be subdued for speculative assets, while the second and fourth quarters frequently witness stronger growth.
A case in point is Dogecoin, which saw a decline in whale activity preceding its remarkable rallies in April 2021 and October 2022. Similarly, SHIB reached its all-time high in October 2021 following a phase of accumulation during the summer.
These patterns suggest that the movements of whales often signal changes in liquidity rather than a permanent loss of confidence.
Given the impact of Bitcoin’s halving and ETF-driven shifts in liquidity on broader market trends, the departure of SHIB’s whales might signify a redistribution of capital rather than outright abandonment.
If historical trends are any indication, whale activity could rebound when liquidity flows back into high-risk assets.
Implications for SHIB and Memecoins
The decline in whale activity for SHIB presents two possible scenarios: either a temporary slowdown before a revival or a more profound shift in investor sentiment.
One area of concern is the growing competition from newer memecoins like PEPE and BONK, which have been gaining momentum lately, fragmenting the memecoin market.
Nonetheless, SHIB maintains its standing as a key player, with its Shibarium ecosystem propelling innovation forward. The recent integration of Shibarium for deposits on the MEXC exchange is a positive step towards enhancing adoption and utility.
Despite the decrease in whale activity, SHIB’s price has surged by 53.65% over the last year, climbing from $0.000010 in February 2024 to approximately $0.000015 in February 2025.
This indicates that while whale interest has diminished, SHIB’s performance is not necessarily declining – its future trajectory will hinge on whether liquidity cycles attract fresh capital to memecoins.
Although SHIB encounters challenges from emerging rivals and reduced whale engagement, strategic advancements within its ecosystem and past performance trends signal potential for a turnaround.